Working Papers

• "An empirical test of the poverty traps hypothesis."
• "Are Capital Shares Higher in Poor Countries? Evidence from Industrial Surveys" (with Daniel Ortega)

• "Plenty of Room?  Fiscal Space in a Resource Abundant Economy" (with María Antonia Moreno)

• "How Important is the Credibility Problem in Politics? Evidence from State-Level Abortion Legislation." (with Eduardo Zambrano)
• "Cleaning Up the Kitchen Sink: Growth Empirics When the World is Not Simple."
• "Public Investment in Infrastructure and Productivity Growth: Evidence from the Venezuelan Manufacturing Sector" (with José Pineda).  Donwload the data set.
• "Trade Policy and Factor Prices: An Empirical Strategy" (with Daniel Ortega)
•  "The Price of Political Opposition: Evidence from Venezuela's Maisanta " (with Chang-Tai Hsieh, Edward Miguel, and Daniel Ortega)

Published Papers (English)

•  “What Makes Growth Shared? On the Political Economy of Inclusive Development,” forthcoming, Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 2008.
• "Venezuela's Revolution in Decline: Beware the Wounded Tiger," World Policy Journal, Spring 2008.
• "An Empty Revolution: The Unfulfilled Promises of Hugo Chávez," Foreign Affairs, March/April 2008
• "Freed from Illiteracy? A Closer Look at Venezuela's Robinson Literacy Campaign" (with Daniel Ortega), forthcoming, Economic Development and Cultural Change.
• "Growth Collapses" (with Ricardo Hausmann and Rodrigo Wagner) forthcoming in Reinhart, Velasco and Vegh, eds. Money, Crises, and Transition: Essays in Honor of Guillermo Calvo.
• “Does One Size Fit All In Policy Reform?  Cross-National Evidence and its Implications for Latin America,” forthcoming in Mainwaring and Scully, eds. Democratic Governability in Latin America.
• "Trade and Development" forthcoming in Dutt and Ros, International Handbook of Development Economics.
• "Anarchy, State, and Dystopia: Venezuelan Economic Institutions before the Advent of Oil." (with Adam J. Gomolin), Bulletin of Latin American Research 28(1), 2009.
• "Have Collapses in Infrastructure Spending Led to Cross-Country Divergence in per Capita GDP?"  in Ocampo, Jomo K.S. and Vos (2007) Growth Divergences: Explaining Differences in Economic Performance.
• "Openness and Growth: What Have We Learned?" in Ocampo, Jomo K.S. and Vos (2007) Growth Divergences: Explaining Differences in Economic Performance.
• "The Anarchy of Numbers: Understanding the Evidence on Venezuelan Economic Growth," Canadian Journal of Development Studies 27(4), 2006.
• Comments on Hausmann and Rodrik, Economía 6(1), 2006
• Comments on Rodríguez-Clare, Economía 6(1), 2006.
• "The Political Economy of Investment in Human Capital," (with José Pineda), Economics of Governance,  7(2), 2006.
• "Inequality, Redistribution and Rent-Seeking," Economics and Politics, November 2004.
• "Trade Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence" (with Dani Rodrik), 2000 NBER Macroeconomics Annual.
• "Why Do Resource-Abundant Economies Grow more Slowly?" (with Jeffrey Sachs), Journal of Economic Growth, September 1999.
• "Does Distributional Skewness Lead to Redistribution? Evidence from the United States", Economics and Politics, July 1999. 

Published Papers (Spanish)

• "Caudillos, políticos y banqueros: Un ensayo sobre el surgimiento e incidencia de las instituciones económicas venezolanas antes del petróleo" in Pineda and Sáez, eds. Crecimiento y ciclos en Venezuela. Caracas: BCV (forthcoming)
• "La política fiscal venezolana 1943-2000", (with Clara López Obregón) Reporte de Coyuntura Anual 2001: Oficina de Asesoría Económica y Financiera de la Asamblea Nacional.
• "Las consecuencias económicas de la Revolución Bolivariana". Revista Nueva Economía, Academia de Ciencias Económicas, nº 19, April 2003, Caracas.
• "Un nuevo índice encadenado del Producto Interno Bruto de Venezuela, 1957-2001." Revista BCV (forthcoming).

Press articles

• Irony of US criticising China for its too-high savings rate (Letter to Financial Times, joint with Stephany Griffith-Jones 10/20/2005)
• El pequeño gigante de Oriente (Correo del Caroní, 10/6/2005)
• Chávez's list (2005)
• ¿Por qué necesitamos una Comisión de Reconciliación Nacional (El Nacional, 2002)
• La contracción económica venezolana (El Nacional, 2003)
• El culto al Cargo (El Nacional, 2001)
• El desempleo en Venezuela (El Mundo, 2003)
• Las lecciones de Argentina (El Nacional, 2002)
• ¿Puede la Misión Vuelvan Caras reducir el desempleo en Venezuela? (El Nacional, 2004)
• Repúblicas aéreas (El Nacional, 2001)
• Todos los planes el plan (El Nacional, 2002)

Selected Reports from the Oficina de Asesoría Económica y Financiera de la Asamblea Nacional de Venezuela (Economic and Financial Advisory Office to the Nacional Assembly of Venezuela).

• Report on the status and legality of Macoreconomic Stabilization Fund Deposits.
• Report on the status and legality of Macoreconomic Stabilization Fund Withdrawals.
• Report on the Direct Allocation of Public Debt Bonds to CEDEL.
• Report on the process of restructuring of Venezuelan Public Debt in 2002.
• Comments on the Control Commission’s Final Report on the CEDEL Case.